Arctic summer sea ice stopped declining a decade ago, but green activists have spared no effort to continue promoting the poster scare that humans will cause it all to disappear within a few years. In his recent BBC Frozen Planet II agitprop, Sir David Attenborough claimed it might all be gone by 2035. In an excellent piece of investigative reporting titled Lies, Damned Lies and Arctic Graphs, the climate writer Tony Heller recently lifted the lid on many of the tactics used to keep the scare in the headlines. “They bury all the older data and pretend they don’t notice sea ice is increasing again. What they are doing is not science but propaganda,” he charges.
The Daily Sceptic has written a number of articles of late noting that summer sea ice extent in the Arctic is recovering. In Greenland, I recently reported, the ice sheet may have increased in the year to August 2022. Invariably, social media commentators reply by publishing the sea ice graph below, compiled by the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
This is reproduced from Heller’s YouTube work and shows a linear decrease in September (the lowest point of annual sea ice) from 1979. There is something wrong with this graph, notes Heller, since the minimum is actually higher now than 10 and 15 years ago, but the crude straight black ‘trend’ line tricks the eye into missing this. He plots the data as a moving average to show the real trend more clearly.
We see here the end of the decline in summer sea ice started a decade ago. The low point on which most fanciful forecasts of a North Pole passage are based is 2012. Heller notes that sea ice changes are cyclical, not linear. And he is right. Drawing a straight line down from a 1979 high point to a lower point tells us nothing about current trends.
Heller then goes on to ask why the graphs start at 1979. The NSIDC and NASA say it is because satellite records started in 1979.Heller says this is a good story “except for the fact that it isn’t true”. He goes on to quote the first UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report in 1990 that stated: “Satellite observations have been used to map sea ice extent routinely since the early 1970s. The American Navy Joint Ice Center has produced weekly charts which have been digitised by NOAA [the U.S. weather service]”.
It might not be a surprise to learn that sea ice extent was lower in the 1970s and it peaked in 1979. By starting the graph in 1979 a ‘fake’ linear downward trend is produced. What they are doing, is hiding crucial data, Heller says.
This ‘hidden’ data is clearly shown above in a graph from the first IPCC report in 1990. The lower levels of ice in the 1970s are plotted and the peak is 1979. But by 2001, the IPCC had removed much of the increase of that decade, and now the chart shows the ice actually starting to fall from 1975. Heller also provides evidence that the 1950s, which are not shown on these charts, had lower sea ice than the 1970s, meaning the 1970s were a recent peak. He goes on to note that the 2001 IPCC report also saw the publication of the ‘hockey stick’ temperature graph that became notorious for removing the medieval warm period.
Sea ice in the Arctic, like most if not all climate trends, is cyclical not linear. Heller notes the influence of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, a cyclical ocean current whose warming and cooling seems to be influential in controlling Arctic temperatures. Records and observations going back to the early 1800s show considerable variations of the ice extent. Attenborough is not alone in forecasting boating at the North Pole. It’s been a cut-and-paste scare story for decades. Heller notes a comment in the New York Times from 1958 that read: “Some scientists estimate that the polar ice pack is 40% thinner and 12% less in area than it was a half century ago, and that even within the lifetime of our children, the Arctic ocean may open, enabling ships to sail over the North Pole.”
Meanwhile the latest updates on the Arctic sea ice and the Greenland ice sheet show a continuing improving trend towards higher extents. Since these improvements do not generally figure in the mainstream headlines, the Daily Sceptic can report that November sea ice was 1.05 million square kilometres greater than a record low in 2016 of 8.66m sq kms.
The surface mass of the Greenland ice sheet (above), measured by the Danish Meteorological Institute, has shown some stonking improvements over the last two months, with the 2022-23 blue line ahead of all the previous marks shown.
Tony Heller’s investigative work is important in calling out the ‘settled’ climate science cartel that runs a postmodern, pseudoscience campaign designed to implement a politically-contrived Net Zero agenda. Perhaps the fact checkers of mainstream media might like to start acting less like political poodles, and start investigating some of the biased data that bombards the carefully-curated public discourse – starting with climate model forecasts that are never correct, attribution studies that invent stories about humans causing bad weather, and corrupted surface temperature databases that continually adjust their ‘record’ figures higher.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
To join in with the discussion please make a donation to The Daily Sceptic.
Profanity and abuse will be removed and may lead to a permanent ban.
That data comes from the primary diagnosis supplement published by the NHS yesterday for patients in England being treated for covid (by the official definition not mine).
So yes those being treated ‘for covid’ are less than half of all +ve hospital patients as at 25th January and proportion still falling.
Both +ve hospital numbers and treated ‘for covid’ numbers clearly falling
Today
Met seeks limits to Sue Gray No 10 parties report – BBC News
My post of two days ago
‘Mrs Dick is repaying the trust placed in her by ‘investigating’ the Pig Dictator
The Pig Dictator welcomes ‘the clarity’ that the police investigation will bring
If the Gray report is published the plebs will be told that no action can be taken as they must await the result of the police investigation
The Gray report may not be published at all until the police investigation is concluded
How many years will the dragged out police investigation take?’
The regime decided some time ago that a wounded Dick was more advantage to them than an unknown prick
Remember where you heard it first
No that’s what I call a slippery pig
How many went to the parties? Fifty plus?
So that is 50+ investigations, and 50+ reports to the Crown Prosecution Service, and 50+ waits for the CPS to make a decision
Then if anyone is charged that’s 50+ court cases to be finalised (in a the middle of a court logjam) before the report can be published
You will not see the Gray report before the next election
This would be Cressida Dick who clapped for the nurses on Westminster Bridge during the ‘pandemic’ without a face mask, whilst her henchmen went round fining people for… er… not wearing face masks!
And who was apparently in charge when an entirely innocent man was shot dead in cold blood….
Never mind though, it was found to be a clear breach of H and S laws.
It gives me no end of smug satisfaction that Dick’s surname is an absolutely perfect descriptor. I rest my case.
This is what happens to NWO regional managers when they refuse to implement forced injections of experimental toxins and then go on to relax most of the ‘New Normal’ population ‘persuasion’ levers.
In Africa they are simply murdered and replaced with WEF puppets.
In the West they are deposed usually by blackmail from compromising phone or email taps or Epstein-like photo set ups.
Johnsons undoing – partygate.
Yep. A real war is going on. All while the sheeple pat themselves on the back about their superb analysis on Russia/Ukraine that they thought was their own, but actually got inserted into their brains verbatim by the MSM.
I accidentally flicked over to question time last night, just for long enough for some sheep to be telling us how Ukraine produces most of our gas, FFS. “I know it to be true, I just read it today”. This species is doomed.
Sebastian Kurz, chancellor of Austria from 2017 stepped down last summer with barely a mention in the British media. There were suggestions of corruption but little detail.
His replacement [who’s name evades me] was in power for only two weeks before resigning. In those two weeks he introduced medical apartheid [lockdowns solely for the unvaccinated- short lived] and vaccine mandates.
Perhaps Kurz was removed because he was unwilling to introduce these measures.
All very suspicious.
I’m feeling positive for the first time in a long time due to the Canadian Truckers, and the massive support they are garnering everywhere the convoy goes.
People offering support on bridges, flyovers and beside busy roads, at all hours of day and night in up to -30 degree temperatures while trudeau hides like the snivelling coward he is.
Truck Fudeau – is that allowed?
Peace
What bedswerving fopdoodle came up with that infantile “no hurtyfeels words”?
No content from me until I know which words will get me instabanned.
I think it’s just TY covering his ass and pandering to opposition.
That may well be, but it could have been worded better. Right now it reads like it was written by a 10-year old. I’m surprised it doesn’t say ‘Don’t use the F-word or the C-word or I shall tell mummy’.
Same story from Germany a couple days ago – up to 75% of covid-positive hospital admissions are for another medical reason here.
This actually a good thing.
As they have for almost 2 years.
Oh my: what an astounding revelation! Surely this cannot be correct???
A friend’s father went to a hospital exhibiting symptoms of a very bad reaction to a new diabetes drug he had been prescribed without follow up from his GP. They ‘tested’ him and declared he had “Covid” – he was held overnight for “tests” and his son had to fetch him in the morning to get him safely home before they started giving him medication and put him on a “pathway” .
On his escape he was told he would be ‘followed up” by being put on a “Virtual Covid Ward”(?) – indeed they bothered him by phone at home as he recovered from the reaction to the new diabetes drug simply by stopping taking it – all the symptoms of this reaction he had previously displayed at the hospital.
It appears that no-one was interested in his drug reaction – they wanted him as a Covid patient! . He has since completely recovered .
The Epidemic of Madness Engulfing the Globe
https://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2022/01/29/google-mass-formation-psychosis.aspx
Rates of anxiety and depression have increased dramatically, as well as cases of psychosis as more and more people experience delusional thinking and hallucinations. Similar to the witch trials of the 16th and 17th centuries, society is once again losing touch with reality. Where will it all end? Google Doesn’t Want You to Research Mass Formation Psychosis
Analysis by Dr. Joseph Mercola
The big danger is that this fake normal stays
Join the friendly resistance before it’s too late
now is not the time to give up
Saturday 29th January 2pm
Wake up Wokingham Day
Meet outside Town Hall,
between Rose Inn & Costa
Wokingham RG40 1AP
Stand in the Park Sundays 10am make friends, ignore the madness & keep sane
Wokingham Howard Palmer Gardens Cockpit Path car park Sturges Rd RG40 2HD
Henley Mills Meadows (at the bandstand) Henley-on-Thames RG9 1DS
Telegram Group
http://t.me/astandintheparkbracknell
Having just skimmed the online Telegraph today still no mention of the huge Canadian convoy against vaccine mandates heading toward Ottawa and Trudeau. Can we have an article on this in Sceptics so I can send to friends who don’t believe it’s happening?
This also adds knowledge of the numbers of deaths claimed to be due primarily to covid and as indicated many time by others with other stronger data, but ignored by the MSM that those numbers are very likely to be overstated by at least a third.
Of course they are. How many people get admitted to hospital with a cold?